it was the heat of the moment

July 31, 2009 at 12:02 pm | In Baseball | 9 Comments
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Trade deadline live-ish blogging!

4:32: Whoa. Late in the game, Padres pull off biggest deal of the day. Pitchers Clayton Richard, Aaron Poreda, Adam Russell, and Dexter Carter for Peavy. Peavy’s locked down through 2012, but he’s currently injured, and that’s a lot of talent – mostly Poreda – for such a question mark. If the Padres wanted to shed payroll, they did a nice job doing so with no leverage against Chicago.

4:27: Is this an elaborate joke by a few writers on Twitter (notably Jon Heyman) and MLB Trade Rumors? Apparently, Jake Peavy has been traded to the White Sox, despite being on the DL for the last few months. This is the weirdest thing I’ve ever seen this late in the game.

4:19: Chase Weems, not Austin Jackson, for Jerry Hairston. Much better for Yankees, alas; Weems would have to be a great defensive catcher for his offensive abilities to portend anything but minor league fodder. Reds also gave up too much for Scott Rolen – Edwin Encarnacion just isn’t that bad, and they gave up two near-ready arms in Josh Roenicke and Zachary Stewart. I don’t see future superstars there, but two solid relievers and Encarnacion looks steep, unless the Blue Jays are paying some of Rolen’s $10 million for 2010. That said, I am also jealous; I was hoping Rolen was Boston-bound if they could flip Lowell.

4:16: I’m a bit frustrated that the Red Sox didn’t go after Nick Johnson instead of Casey Kotchman, but it mighta taken too much time to find another taker for LaRoche. Plus, Kotchman’s defense essentially makes this a lateral move for 2009. Now, I’m just waiting for confirmation that Halladay’s staying in Toronto and that the Padres and Yankees have been stagnant.

4:09: Clarifying my last comment: I meant for Johnson and for the Marlins. Certainly not for the Nationals, as prospect Aaron Thompson is a pretty laughable return for Johnson. 22 and struggling at AA? Ugh.

4:03: Rumors of Nick Johnson to Marlins. I like this on both ends; very glad to see Florida actually going for it and Johnson moving to a possible contender.

3:58: Apparently not Austin Jackson for Hairston, and Rolen’s for Encarnacion plus a minor leaguer. Okay, back to Cincy not having a great day, but not a BAD day, depending on prospects.

3:48: Austin Jackson for Jerry Hairston? Looks like a big overpayment by Yankees; I’ll retract what I implied about Cincy not knowing what it’s doing if this report is accurate.

3:40: Rolen to Reds. Seems odd that they’re trying this “win now” stuff in Cincy while dealing a big piece of their bench (Hairston), and presumably Edwin Encarnacion heading north.

3:28: Adam LaRoche for Casey Kotchman? That’s a downgrade for the 2009 Red Sox, but cheaper in the future. Of course, Sox + cheap = WHY?

3:23: Stuff coming fast and furious now, but with no idea what prospects are involved in any of these deals. Rockies added a nice bullpen arm in Joe Beimel.

3:20: This Gonzalez-to-Dodgers thing has to be made up. How could Padres walk away from that with anything less than Kershaw? Yankees add Jerry Hairston, Jr.; should be a nice piece off the bench, and sadly, no schadenfreude about an Arroyo acquisition yet.

3:12: Bryan Price as third pitcher to Cleveland… college reliever moved back to starting; looks very good in A-ball, but it’s A-ball. Seems like another Knapp for Cleveland – high upside, no guarantees. Meanwhile, Gordon Edes says Adam LaRoche to Braves; I’m hoping this means bullpen help for Red Sox.

2:56: MLB Network reports that Dodgers may have a chance at Adrian Gonzalez. If that happens and if they don’t get completely taken, I’ll be crushed that the Sox didn’t make that deal instead of getting Martinez.

2:40: Reportedly Justin Masterson on top of Hagadone. Still looking like a nice deal for Red Sox, as Masterson’s problems vs. left-handers limit his value quite a bit and Hagadone is still a ways off. Remains to be seen what else is involved or if Boston will target a new long man.

2:35 PM: Matthew Pouliot throws out the name of Nick Hagadone; Clay Buchholz and Daniel Bard reportedly not involved. If this is true, sounds hard for Boston to screw it up.

2:02 PM: Still waiting on confirmation and price of Victor. Also increasingly terrified of how much time the Yankees have to counter-punch here.

1:57 PM: Sounds like Red Sox finally about to pull trigger on Victor Martinez. After all the Adrian Gonzalez and Halladay talks, this is a bit anticlimactic, I’m sad to say. Dare I dream this isn’t all?

Yes, I dare. I’m an idiot.

1:30 PM: It comes to my attention that Orlando Cabrera’s glove isn’t even good anymore. Starting to seem that Beane didn’t get something for nothing; he got something for less than nothing.

1:19 PM: Los Angeles Dodgers traded P Claudio Vargas to Milwaukee Brewers for C Vinny Rottino. Nothing but a depth move here; Vargas has been through Milwaukee once before and they know he’s not a great bet to give much. Rottino’s 29 and has seen his bat decline since 2006 and 2007.

1:14 PM: “According to Tim Brown of Yahoo! Sports, the Twins have acquired Orlando Cabrera from the A’s for 21-year-old shorstop Tyler Ladendorf.” Unless Ladendorf stays at shortstop, don’t see him making the bigs; Cot’s Contracts informs me that the A’s agreed not to offer arbitration if Cabrera is a Type A free agent, so draft picks wouldn’t be an issue; looks like trying to get something instead of nothing, plus save a million bucks or so.

1:01 PM: Rumblings of SS Orlando Cabrera being traded from Oakland A’s to Minnesota Twins. Nice glove, but with his bat (and at his age), I’m just glad the Red Sox are apparently staying out of this.

11:40 AM: Seattle Mariners traded SP Jarrod Washburn to Detroit Tigers for SPs Lucas French and Mauricio Robles.

First reaction: “CRAP! The Yankees didn’t get Washburn!” I was fairly confident he’d be eaten alive in a hitter-friendly ballpark in New York, and believe his low-strikeout, flyball tendencies were in one of the best ballparks for a pitcher of such abilities.

Even so, this is a bit disappointing for Seattle; French might be able to serve as a back-end starter right now, but Robles’ high strikeouts in the low minors are accompanied by some iffy control. With a pretty solid 23-year-old as well as a higher-upside young guy, Seattle didn’t walk away empty-handed, but I again expected there was more of a market for this pitcher and one could have found a bit better of a prospect package.

Now it’s time to hope the Yankees “address” their “problems” with Bronson Arroyo.

Yesterday, Pittsburgh Pirates traded RP John Grabow and SP Tom Gorzelanny to Chicago Cubs for Ps Kevin Hart and Jose Ascanio and 2B Josh Harrison.

I don’t have much to say here; Grabow’s 30 and has major walk problems, while Gorzelanny’s low strikeouts would need to be accompanied by vastly superior control for him to have any sort of upside. The latter pitcher went completely off the rails in 2008, but like Ian Snell, has looked good at AAA and could improve. Still, Hart and Ascanio are less of question marks – they could probably help from the bullpen right now – and Harrison, while old for his league, was a college draft pick just last year and could have a nice bat if he can stick at second base. Solid pickup by the Pirates for a free agent to be and a guy about to get more expensive.

all the small things

July 30, 2009 at 4:42 pm | In Baseball | 2 Comments
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While the Red Sox continue trampling my soul return to being awesome, a roundup of some of this week’s smaller trades (and by “small” I mean “occurred since my last blog and/or don’t involve many players;” several of these guys are important parts on contending teams or real prospects).

Baltimore Orioles traded RP George Sherrill to Los Angeles Dodgers for 3B Josh Bell and SP Steve Johnson.
The Dodgers filled a significant area of need, and did so with the best option on the market. Sherrill has two more years of arbitration, and should be an excellent left-handed setup man like Will Ohman and Hong-Chih Kuo were supposed to be. It is, however, worth noting that Sherrill battled severe control issues in 2008 and 2006, so he’s hardly a sure thing; it’s also significant that he’s 32 years old, and could be washed up by the time he hits free agency. This is clearly a win-now move, though, and with the Phillies upgrading their rotation, it’s understandable why Los Angeles was willing to risk those things for the potential to bolster their bullpen.

Bell is a significant price to pay for a reliever with such question marks, though; the 22-year-old looks like a nice power hitter in the making, and has adjusted well to AA. If he can field enough to stick at third, the O’s got a pretty nice hitter here for a pitcher unlikely to be on a contending Baltimore club. Johnson’s a run-of-the-mill low-minors pitching prospect; he’s 21 and has been in the system since 2005, only reaching AA this year. He seems to have some strikeout potential, but gives up too many HRs to look like anything but organizational fodder.

Pittsburgh Pirates traded 2B Freddy Sanchez to San Francisco Giants for SP Tim Alderson.
Are you @%$^ing kidding me? Giants GM Brian Sabean has done some weird, stupid things in his time, but this one still came as a shock. Sanchez is a nice add and a lock to contribute more than the Giants’ AAA players who have attempted to man second base (not as much an upgrade from Juan Uribe, but that’s beside the point). He’ll add a little speed, a little pop, a little defense, and give the wildcard-leading Giants a slightly better shot at October.

That’s not enough. I’m okay dealing prospects for impact players who could increase one’s chances of a World Series berth, but the Giants cannot be considered one of the NL’s stronger playoff clubs, and Sanchez only serves to fill a hole. That in mind, the price was absolutely staggering. Alderson was San Francisco’s #2 pitching prospect behind only Madison Bumgarner. While low strikeout totals seem to undermine a lot of the hype around him, he’s still an exorbitant price to pay for an okay second baseman; even if we accept that Alderson isn’t the front-of-the-rotation starter that some believe he is, his value on the market ought to have been a fair deal greater than a minor pickup like Sanchez.

Cincinnati Reds traded RP Robert Manuel to Seattle Mariners for OF Wladimir Balentien.
This is one that makes decent sense for both teams. Balentien is a year younger, but has thus far not translated some translated minor-league power into major-league hitting success. He’s a strikeout liability, but perhaps the National League and a friendlier home park will help him rediscover his stroke. The Reds have suffered injuries to outfielders Jay Bruce and Chris Dickerson, so it makes sense to add another young guy who still could turn into a long-term asset.

Manuel seems closer to being a useful major leaguer, though, so I give the edge in this trade to Seattle. The 26-year-old didn’t get much time in a surprisingly strong Reds bullpen, but his minor league numbers make him an interesting relief prospect. To be successful in the AL, he’ll probably need to find the strikeout ability he showed as one of the Southern League’s best pitchers last year, but his control makes him a nice asset even if he doesn’t blow batters away.

Boston Red Sox traded “1B”/”OF” Mark Kotsay to Chicago White Sox for CF Brian Anderson.
27-year-old Anderson can’t hit and is overrated in the field. 33-year-old Kotsay can’t hit, can’t field, and was designated for assignment, giving the Red Sox a limited window to trade him; he will be a free agent at the end of the year. The Red Sox traded sure garbage for probable garbage that has a slim chance of turning into something of small value.

when the sky looked high and the world was simple

February 19, 2009 at 12:01 am | In Baseball, Rooting Hierarchies | 3 Comments
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It’s when I turn off my brain that I end up being (even more) long-winded.  Go figure.

15. Los Angeles Dodgers (48.74% schedule-weighted support)
Last Ranking:
28
Added: SPs Claudio Vargas, Randy Wolf, and Shawn Estes; RP Guillermo Mota; IFs Mark Loretta and Hector Luna; C Brad Ausmus; OF Val Pascucci
Lost: LF Manny Ramirez; SPs Greg Maddux (retired), Derek Lowe, and Brad Penny; RPs Takashi Saito, Joe Beimel, Chan Ho Park, Scott Proctor, and Jason Johnson; 2B Jeff Kent (retired); SSs Nomar Garciaparra and Angel Berroa; CF Andruw Jones
Strengths: How do I frame this section without giving any credit to GM Ned Colletti, whose existence is basically the only reason the Dodgers aren’t in my top four? Sadly, I cannot avoid acknowledging the nuts found by this blind, cowboy-boot-wearing squirrel: two of seven Dodgers I consider to have noteworthy value were acquired since he took over the team in late 2005. 21-year-old SP Clayton Kershaw had significant walk problems in 2008, and is not yet a front-of-the-rotation starter, but the 2006 draft pick has always been an impressive strikeout artist and is, at worst, very cheap, high-upside back-of-the-rotation material for a major league club.

Japanese import Hiroki Kuroda had a nice “rookie” season in 2008, and looks to be a solid #3 starter in 2009. The problem, however, is that his contract will pay him $10 million this year and $13 million next year – not an utter albatross, but a considerable risk on an unspectacular player; it is this sort of careless spending that is a great part of my disdain for Colletti.

Fortunately, I’m done talking about things Colletti has done to help his team. Closer Jonathan Broxton (2002 draft) and setup man Hong-Chih Kuo (1999 free agent) keep the bullpen from sinking into a completely pathetic state, while C Russell Martin (2002 draft) is one of baseball’s finest backstops – and only 26. The 2003 draft produced the team’s only other good starter, Chad Billingsley, as well as CF Matt Kemp and RF Andre Ethier, both of whom were rumored to be trade bait once Colletti bogged down the outfield with costly veterans like Andruw Jones (since released) and the powerless, and frequently walkless, Juan Pierre.
Weaknesses: Ah, here’s the fun part. Having already touched on Pierre, who is due $28 million over the next three seasons as he heads toward his mid-30s, and Jones, who will make $21 million over the next six years for the contribution of playing elsewhere, I suppose Colletti’s worst error this offseason would be a good starting point. 3B Casey Blake, who was acquired from the Indians in July at the exorbitant price of 22-year-old catching prospect Carlos Santana and pitcher John Meloan, managed a paltry .313 on-base percentage in LA despite a helpful .316 average on balls in play. His defense ranges, depending on the metric, from bad to terrible, and at age 35, he’s not much of an investment to improve. None of this mattered to Colletti, however, who saw a bearded white guy who just seemed like he played hard; Blake was signed to a three-year, $17.5 million contract in December.

Now entrenched at third base for the Dodgers, Casey Blake has bumped fellow light-hitting infielder Blake DeWitt to second base, where he will most likely platoon with 37-year-old Mark Loretta and/or regress to the easily-replaceable hitter he has been throughout his career. But the complete offensive futility doesn’t stop there. While it’s very possible that the Dodgers will eventually bring back Manny Ramirez, the current state of left field is abysmal. The team’s options include Pierre, whose inability to hit as a corner outfielder has been documented many times; Delwyn Young, who has only really put things together for one good season in 2007; Jason Repko, whose high strikeouts and modest power do not bode well for a useful major league career; and Val Pascucci, who has some impressive AAA seasons but looks too slow and walk-prone for the Dodgers’ liking.

Beyond Billingsley, Kershaw, and Kuroda, the Dodgers’ rotation is filled with question marks. Even if Jason Schmidt returns from shoulder problems, he’ll be 36 and it is completely unknown what he can offer. Injury- and homer-prone Randy Wolf, however, will likely keep a rotation spot as long as he remains healthy, as the team doesn’t want to throw $5 million away if he can just eat innings toward the back of the rotation. Unremarkable pitchers like Shawn Estes, Jeff Weaver, Eric Stults, and Claudio Vargas seem like the only things standing between prospect James McDonald and the #5 spot; while I don’t see McDonald as being ready for the bigs, a few injuries and underwhelming performances could very well force the Dodgers’ hand. Similar to the lack of depth in the rotation, the bullpen is essentially Broxton, Kuo, and a very underwhelming group competing for spots. Guillermo Mota, whose last useful season came in 2004, looks to have a spot assured thanks to a $2.35 million contract.
My Stake: I am a terrible, shallow person. I give love a bad name. I have no excuse for my behavior, and bring shame on my family for being so concerned by beauty and charm over intelligence and depth. Perhaps some day, I will mature as a person and learn that there’s more to love than superficial cravings untempered by concerns over character and wisdom. But no matter how dumb the Dodgers are, how inexcusably incompetent a GM Colletti is, I am unable to muster the antipathy I know I should feel in every fiber of my being; despite having perhaps the least competent front office in baseball, the historic franchise somehow managed to make it to the upper half of my rankings.

Blame it on the closing of Fire Joe Morgan, and resulting underexposure to detailed accounts of the crazed illogic that guides Colletti.

Hold culpable my confidence that Colletti will not hold his job for more than another year or two, even if a return by Ramirez lets them make the playoffs in a pathetic division.

Credit President Obama for helping me believe that yes I can! throw reason out the window and just hope for the best!

Or just assume that the Dodgers are “gateway morons” and I’m soon find “Lost” too “thinky” and just, darn it, not as fun! as “Rock Of Love,” which features charming women who are everything of which a man could dream. I truly dread the next development in my devolution to homo neanderthalensis plaschkeus, but damn it, that is one fine piece of stadium.
‘09 Predictions: The best I can say for LA’s offseason is that Pascucci is a nice, if surprising, acquisition for a team that seems to value players in ways diametrically opposite my own. He should not, however, be a starter, nor should he be a backup to an inferior player, so there’s little chance that this move is for anything other than AAA depth. Because of the LF vacancy, as well as the pitching woes and the minimal value of this winter’s pickups, it’s very tempting to put this team below .500.  However, I’m going to bank on Manny’s happy return and put them at 81 wins.  Still, I can hope that that’s not enough, and that 2009 proves to be just the sort of letdown year to cost Colletti his job. I shall await regime change with bated breath.

‘08 rooting hierarchy i: please allow me to introduce myself

March 24, 2008 at 4:40 pm | In Baseball, Rooting Hierarchies | 2 Comments
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After a painfully long hiatus, we’re back… to blogging and, in less than 12 hours, to baseball! It’s important to start the year’s rooting hierarchy blogs before the season begins, but this year’s system required more work than usual. I used a version of my Statistical Rooting Hierarchy and decided who I’d root for in any game (the teams in the middle of the list are so muddled together that, without actively considering head-to-head matchups, I could not clearly rank them; as it is, ties and partial support had to be allowed). The list is one of preference, not expected time spent rooting for each team; it is ranked by overall likeability rather than practical considerations for the season ahead. I am, however, including a weighted ranking to approximate, without regard to standings (such a list would be very dynamic and thus less bloggable), support based on the team’s actual schedule (based on the team’s strength within its division, in the rest of its league, and in interleague play).  Predictions are based in David’s projection system with altered player projections where appropriate, reallocated playing time, consideration of possible transactions and injuries, and other educated guesswork.

30. New York Yankees 0.00% unweighted support; 0.00% weighted by schedule (0 in division/0 in league/0 in interleague)
Last year: #30. 94-68, 2nd in AL East, lost ALDS

In 2008: When it comes to matters of prediction and evaluation, I still adhere firmly to logic and statistics. But in matters of preference, I sometimes must break with such analytical ways. The Yankees are no longer a team exclusively comprised of overpaid, overrated, over-the-hill veterans. With young talent like Joba Chamberlain and Edwar Ramirez poised to play a big role in 2008, and more youth on the way, an entirely objective observer would respect the Yankees’ acumen in recent years enough to root for them from time to time. But while their (very real) missteps aren’t enough to damn them to thirtieth, the Yankees are too historically prone to buying their championships and neglecting player development and analysis (and moreover, their role as the Evil Empire is too critical to my baseball worldview) for me to even consider giving them their due instead of blindly hating them. Sports is my last bastion of irrational, unforgiving, us-vs.-them thinking, and I shall not have a few pinstriped prospects destroy that refuge.
Prediction: 94-68; 1st in AL East, lose ALCS

29. Los Angeles Dodgers 4.83% unweighted; 1.10% weighted (0/0/10)
Last year: #28. 82-80, 4th in NL West

In 2008: Where the Yankees are unfairly unliked, the Dodgers deserve every bit of scorn I give them. The much-mocked signing of Juan Pierre continues to haunt the franchise, now compounded by the error of giving an aging, heftier Andruw Jones approximately twice his value as a free agent. The signings have had ripple effects to further damage, such as forcing Andre Ethier to the bench, and leaving the team’s third base situation far from ideal. On a less analytical note, the unending incompetence of general manager Ned Colletti is absolutely heartbreaking. With a rich tradition and one of the finest ballparks in all of baseball, the Dodgers would easily become a personal favorite in the National League with even an average front office. My prediction sees the team with too many identifiable weaknesses not to go out and make a trade or two - though it’s questionable how much they can improve with so much of their young talent already in the majors.
Prediction: 86-76; 2nd in NL West

28. Chicago White Sox 5.52% unweighted; 5.41% weighted (0/11.11/3.75)
Last year: #29. 72-90, 4th in AL Central

In 2008: The White Sox actually made a couple of almost-good moves this winter. Shockingly, GM Kenny Williams walked away from trades with the Diamondbacks and Athletics without being absolutely robbed. It was Los Angeles of Anaheim, interestingly enough, who made KW a fool by acquiring Jon Garland, a very nice #2 starter, for Orlando Cabrera, an aging and average shortstop. The offseason’s greatest foible was the signing of reliever Scott Linebrink – who has become a serious HR risk and no better than a AAA veteran – to a four-year deal.
Prediction: 73-89; 4th in AL Central

‘07 spaces: after what you did, i can’t stay on

December 6, 2007 at 9:32 pm | In Barack Obama, Space Awards | 5 Comments
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(If anyone [comments or no, I'm getting hundreds of hits a day!] is looking for musical recommendations related to my title lyrics, I feel obligated to note, for the record, that Tom Petty’s version of “I’ll Feel A Whole Lot Better” is much better than The Byrds’ [who I have nothing against, even if their best work was done covering Bob Dylan] original.)

2007 Space Awards ~ Annoyances Of The Year: Part II

10. Ned Colletti: Following my trip to Dodger Stadium, I realized that I have a deep desire to be a Dodger fan. Yet the current GM is too horrifically incompetent to allow me to like the team. He runs the team like a west coast version of the Yankees at their worst, throwing money at players like Juan Pierre and Luis Gonzalez instead of considering innovative, cost-efficient options. The recent Andruw Jones signing makes it almost a sure thing that one of his superior young outfielders will be traded away. Someday, the Dodgers will have a front office that lets me embrace their incredibly beautiful stadium as a cause for rooting; that day cannot come until Ned Colletti goes.
9. The Pussycat Dolls: My distaste for the “looking like a hooker makes you attractive” attitude in our society is well established. But this “band” did something far worse in 2007: their reality TV show on The CW replaced “Veronica Mars” – and made the network realize that appealing to the lowest common denominator was a much more profitable plan than keeping smart, scripted programming. (The actual death of “Mars” is more heartbreaking than merely annoying, and thus does not make this list.)
8. “The Sweet Escape:” If not for a quick trigger finger to change radio stations, I think this song would have been the sort of thing to get catchy even though I knew it was terrible. All I know for sure is that for an execrable inning break at Chase Field, I had to listen to it and control my urge to leap from the upper deck. The Dugout’s Jim Thome may have said it best: GWEN STEPHANIE IS CONFUSING AND MAKES ME UNCOMFORTABLE.
7. Spreadsheet ennui: The ennui comes and goes, but ultimately, I am plagued by the knowledge that the days of all-night vlookupthons seem to be behind me. I had hoped to fill the time by making more entirely subjective yet formal lists, yet instead I have found myself in unproductive, non-multitasking sessions of simple iPod-aided relaxation. Underanalysis does not become me.
6. Barack Obama: He may have the most progressive attitudes of the realistic candidates, but he also is prone to making political blunders and creating the need to change or clarify his platforms. More importantly, his “new kind of politics” is a sham; he plays the same games as any other candidate, and his optimistic rhetoric is undercut by his willingness to tour with an outspoken homophobe and employ Robert Gibbs, one of the most sleazy negative campaign staffers around. Obama is no worse than any other hypocritical, blinded-by-ambition politician, but in the eyes of many, he is running first and foremost on the patently false image that he is above these things; he certainly hasn’t earned his support due to experience-based qualifications.

2007 rooting hierarchy i: the axis of evil

March 26, 2007 at 3:41 pm | In Baseball, Rooting Hierarchies | Leave a Comment
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With just a week till Opening Day, it’s time for me to declare my alliances going into the season. The rooting hierarchy can and will change throughout the season, but that doesn’t mean I can just start the season without a clear list made up. I could also include projections based on playing time guesses, but last season, the best I did was averaging like +/- 9 wins or something.

Hierarchy rankings are determined by team competence, my historical loyalty or antipathy to the franchise, the likeability of the team’s city, how the media treat the teams, and occasionally individual players or coaches. We begin with the three clubs whose games I will watch for the single purpose of rooting for the opponent.

30. New York Yankees To be perfectly honest, the team isn’t horrifyingly incompetent or badly-run. But for a $200m+ payroll, they have a terrible pitching staff and a thin farm system. Their obscene wealth is far beyond that of even Boston, Los Angeles, or any other organization in the sport, but my hatred runs deeper. The team still has the militaristic mindset and hair-pertaining policies, and of course, Derek Jeter. While it will have baseball’s best offense, its rotation to start the season will likely include foolishly-overpaid Japanese import Kei Igawa and mediocre minor-leaguer Darrell Rasner, neither of whom have any business on a contending club.
29. Chicago White Sox Many “experts” have labeled this team a sleeper to contend in 2007. Yet with a bad rotation, a worse bullpen, and an offense that is questionable at best, the team’s upside is probably 80 wins – but all the media will talk about is its scrappiness, effort, and hard work (exemplified by sub-average Darin Erstad – “did you know he was a punter in college? He MUST be good at baseball!”). The team may have plenty of “grinders” and be a great example to ten-year-olds, but effort doesn’t always make a good player or a good team. The media need to praise shrewd transactions rather than acquisitions who will try to be useful, and the White Sox have far too many of the latter.
28. Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers were a favorite team of mine not long ago, when the franchise employed stat-boy Paul DePodesta as GM. DePo had a run of bad luck, and being of a mindset at odds with the media and most of the baseball world, ended up a sacrificial lamb for the team’s shortcomings. He was replaced by a man who’s traditional and likes opinions and “tools” better than evidence and tangible production, and it shows – the Dodgers signed speedy-but-out-prone OF Juan Pierre and liked-but-old OF Luis Gonzalez to unjustifiable deals, and go into the season with just three projected above-average position players. Offseason signing SP Jason Schmidt will help keep the club in the wildcard race, but that doesn’t justify the myriad mistakes which prevent LA from being a truly great team.

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